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Mar 10, 2020 4:02 AM ET

Franco-Nevada Delivers Record Q4 and Annual Results


iCrowd Newswire - Mar 10, 2020

TORONTO,- “I am pleased that Franco-Nevada is reporting its best results ever,” stated David Harquail, CEO. “Record quarterly and annual results were achieved across all our important sales and financial metrics. Results benefited from the start of precious metals deliveries from Cobre Panama, strong production at other key assets and higher precious metals prices. Thanks to our diversified portfolio, we expect good overall growth in 2020 mostly driven by the continued Cobre Panama ramp-up despite a more conservative outlook for our energy assets.  Franco-Nevada is generating substantial free cash flow and, post year-end, is now debt free.  Franco-Nevada continues to be the gold investment that works.”

2019 Financial Highlights

Q4/2019 Financial Highlights

 Revenue and GEO Sales by Asset Categories

 

2019

2018

 

GEO Sales

Revenue

GEO Sales

Revenue

 

#

(in millions)

#

(in millions)

Gold

387,663

$545.8

344,107

$435.8

Silver

58,906

83.2

61,737

78.2

PGMs

52,813

75.6

30,946

39.1

Other Mining Assets

17,056

23.6

11,112

14.0

Mining

516,438

$728.2

447,902

$567.1

Energy

115.9

86.1

 

516,438

$844.1

447,902

$653.2

 Revenue and GEO Sales by Asset Categories

 

Q4/2019

Q4/2018

 

GEO Sales

Revenue

GEO Sales

Revenue

 

#

(in millions)

#

(in millions)

Gold

117,698

$174.8

79,623

$98.3

Silver

15,427

22.8

12,895

16.1

PGMs

16,271

24.6

8,830

11.2

Other Mining Assets

4,000

5.9

3,529

4.4

Mining

153,396

$228.1

104,877

$130.0

Energy

30.0

18.2

 

153,396

$258.1

104,877

$148.2

For Q4/2019, revenue was sourced 88.4% from gold and gold equivalents (67.7% gold, 8.9% silver, 9.5% PGM and 2.3% other mining assets) and 11.6% from energy (oil, gas and NGLs). The portfolio’s objective is to maintain a focus on precious metals (gold, silver and PGM) with a target of no more than 20% in revenue from energy. Geographically, revenue was sourced 84.9% from the Americas (47.1% Latin America, 19.3% U.S. and 18.5% Canada).

Corporate Updates

2020 Guidance

In 2020, Franco-Nevada expects attributable royalty and stream sales to total 550,000 to 580,000 GEOs from its mining assets and revenue of $80 to $95 million from its energy assets. Of the royalty and stream sales from mining assets, 375,000 to 405,000 GEOs are expected from Franco-Nevada’s various stream agreements. For 2020 guidance, silver, platinum and palladium metals have been converted to GEOs using assumed commodity prices of $1,500/oz Au, $17.00/oz Ag, $900/oz Pt and $2,000/oz Pd. The WTI oil price and Henry Hub natural gas price are assumed to average $45 per barrel and $2.00 per mcf, respectively. The Company estimates depletion expense of $260 to $290 million.  2020 guidance and 5‑year outlook below are based on public forecasts and other disclosure by the third-party owners and operators of our assets or our assessment thereof.

5-Year Outlook

Our outlook to 2024 assumes that the Cobre Panama project will have expanded its mill throughput capacity to 100 million tonnes per year starting in 2023. Using the same commodity price assumptions as were used for our 2020 guidance (see above) and assuming no other acquisitions, Franco-Nevada expects its existing portfolio to produce between 580,000 to 610,000 GEOs by 2024. Energy revenues are expected to range between $115 to $135 million, and assumes the remaining committed capital for the Royalty Acquisition Venture with Continental is funded.

Q4/2019 Portfolio Updates

Gold Equivalent Ounces Sold:  GEOs sold for the quarter were 153,396, an increase of 46.3% from the 104,877 sold in Q4/2018.  Cobre Panama, Candelaria, and Guadalupe-Palmarejo, Sudbury and Stillwater contributed to the quarter-over-quarter increase which was slightly offset by lower contributions from Antamina and the Goldstrike NPI.

Latin America:

U.S.:

Canada:

Rest of World:

Energy:  Revenue from the energy assets increased to $30.0 million in Q4/2019 compared to $18.2 million in Q4/2018, reflecting contributions from new investments in the Marcellus and in the SCOOP/STACK by the Royalty Acquisition Venture with Continental but offset by lower commodity prices compared to Q4/2018.

U.S.:

Canada:

Shareholder Information

The complete Consolidated Annual Financial Statements and Management’s Discussion and Analysis can be found today on Franco‑Nevada’s website at www.franco-nevada.com, on SEDAR at www.sedar.com and on EDGAR at www.sec.gov.

Management will host a conference call tomorrow, Tuesday, March 10, 2020 at 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time to review Franco Nevada’s 2019 results, as well as discuss its 2020 and five-year outlook.

Interested investors are invited to participate as follows:

Corporate Summary

Franco-Nevada Corporation is the leading gold-focused royalty and stream company with the largest and most diversified portfolio of cash-flow producing assets.  Its business model provides investors with gold price and exploration optionality while limiting exposure to many of the risks of operating companies.  Franco-Nevada has a strong balance sheet and uses its free cash flow to expand its portfolio and pay dividends.  It trades under the symbol FNV on both the Toronto and New York stock exchanges.  Franco-Nevada is the gold investment that works.

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains “forward-looking information” and “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws and the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, respectively, which may include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to future events or future performance, management’s expectations regarding Franco-Nevada’s growth, results of operations, estimated future revenues, carrying value of assets, future dividends and requirements for additional capital, mineral reserve and mineral resource estimates, production estimates, production costs and revenue, future demand for and prices of commodities, expected mining sequences, business prospects and opportunities, audits being conducted by the Canada Revenue Agency, the expected exposure for current and future assessments and available remedies, the remedies relating to and consequences of the ruling of the Supreme Court of Panama in relation to the Cobre Panama project, the aggregate value of Common Shares which may be issued pursuant to the ATM Program, the Company’s expected use of the net proceeds of the ATM Program, and expected succession planning. In addition, statements (including data in tables) relating to reserves and resources and gold equivalent ounces (“GEOs”) are forward-looking statements, as they involve implied assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions, and no assurance can be given that the estimates and assumptions are accurate and that such reserves and resources and GEOs will be realized. Such forward-looking statements reflect management’s current beliefs and are based on information currently available to management. Often, but not always, forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of words such as “plans”, “expects”, “is expected”, “budgets”, “scheduled”, “estimates”, “forecasts”, “predicts”, “projects”, “intends”, “targets”, “aims”, “anticipates” or “believes” or variations (including negative variations) of such words and phrases or may be identified by statements to the effect that certain actions “may”, “could”, “should”, “would”, “might” or “will” be taken, occur or be achieved. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Franco-Nevada to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. A number of factors could cause actual events or results to differ materially from any forward-looking statement, including, without limitation: fluctuations in the prices of the primary commodities that drive royalty and stream revenue (gold, platinum group metals, copper, nickel, uranium, silver, iron-ore and oil and gas); fluctuations in the value of the Canadian and Australian dollar, Mexican peso, and any other currency in which revenue is generated, relative to the U.S. dollar; changes in national and local government legislation, including permitting and licensing regimes and taxation policies and the enforcement thereof; regulatory, political or economic developments in any of the countries where properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest are located or through which they are held; risks related to the operators of the properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest, including changes in the ownership and control of such operators; influence of macroeconomic developments; business opportunities that become available to, or are pursued by Franco-Nevada; reduced access to debt and equity capital; litigation; title, permit or license disputes related to interests on any of the properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest; whether or not the Company is determined to have “passive foreign investment company” (“PFIC”) status as defined in Section 1297 of the United States Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended; potential changes in Canadian tax treatment of offshore streams; excessive cost escalation as well as development, permitting, infrastructure, operating or technical difficulties on any of the properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest; access to sufficient pipeline capacity; actual mineral content may differ from the reserves and resources contained in technical reports; rate and timing of production differences from resource estimates, other technical reports and mine plans; risks and hazards associated with the business of development and mining on any of the properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest, including, but not limited to unusual or unexpected geological and metallurgical conditions, slope failures or cave-ins, flooding and other natural disasters, terrorism, civil unrest or an outbreak of contagious diseases; and the integration of acquired assets. The forward-looking statements contained in this press release are based upon assumptions management believes to be reasonable, including, without limitation: the ongoing operation of the properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest by the owners or operators of such properties in a manner consistent with past practice; the accuracy of public statements and disclosures made by the owners or operators of such underlying properties; no material adverse change in the market price of the commodities that underlie the asset portfolio; the Company’s ongoing income and assets relating to determination of its PFIC status; no material changes to existing tax treatment; the expected application of tax laws and regulations by taxation authorities; the expected assessment and outcome of any audit by any taxation authority; no adverse development in respect of any significant property in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest; the accuracy of publicly disclosed expectations for the development of underlying properties that are not yet in production; integration of acquired assets; and the absence of any other factors that could cause actions, events or results to differ from those anticipated, estimated or intended. However, there can be no assurance that forward-looking statements will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Investors are cautioned that forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. In addition, there can be no assurance as to the outcome of the ongoing audit by the CRA or the Company’s exposure as a result thereof. Franco-Nevada cannot assure investors that actual results will be consistent with these forward-looking statements. Accordingly, investors should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty therein.

For additional information with respect to risks, uncertainties and assumptions, please refer to Franco-Nevada’s most recent Annual Information Form filed with the Canadian securities regulatory authorities on www.sedar.com and Franco-Nevada’s most recent Annual Report filed on Form 40-F filed with the SEC on www.sec.gov. The forward-looking statements herein are made as of the date of this press release only and Franco-Nevada does not assume any obligation to update or revise them to reflect new information, estimates or opinions, future events or results or otherwise, except as required by applicable law.

NON-IFRS MEASURES:  Cash Costs, Adjusted EBITDA, and Adjusted Net Income are intended to provide additional information only and do not have any standardized meaning prescribed under IFRS and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS.  These measures are not necessarily indicative of operating profit or cash flow from operations as determined under IFRS.  Other companies may calculate these measures differently. For a reconciliation of these measures to various IFRS measures, please see below or the Company’s current MD&A disclosure found on the Company’s website, on SEDAR and on EDGAR. Comparative information has been recalculated to conform to current presentation.

  1. GEOs include our gold, silver, platinum, palladium and other mining assets. GEOs are estimated on a gross basis for NSR royalties and, in the case of stream ounces, before the payment of the per ounce contractual price paid by the Company. For NPI royalties, GEOs are calculated taking into account the NPI economics. Platinum, palladium, silver and other minerals are converted to GEOs by dividing associated revenue, which includes settlement adjustments, by the relevant gold price. The gold price used in the computation of GEOs earned from a particular asset varies depending on the royalty or stream agreement, which may make reference to the market price realized by the operator, or the average for the month, quarter, or year in which the mineral was produced or sold. For Q4/2019, the average commodity prices were as follows: $1,480 gold (2018 – $1,228), $17.31 silver (2018 – $14.55), $907 platinum (2018 – $822) and $1,800 palladium (2018 – $1,157). For 2019, the average commodity prices were as follows: $1,392 gold (2018 – $1,268), $16.20 silver (2018 – $15.71), $863 platinum (2018 – $881) and $1,539 palladium (2018 – $1,028).
  2. Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted Net Income per share are non-IFRS financial measures, which exclude the following from net income and EPS: impairment charges related to royalty, stream and working interests and investments; gains/losses on the sale of royalty, stream and working interests and investments; foreign exchange gains/losses and other income/expenses; unusual non-recurring items; and the impact of income taxes on these items.
  3. Cash Costs attributable to GEOs sold and Cash Costs per GEO sold are non-IFRS financial measures. Cash Costs attributable to GEOs sold is calculated by starting with total costs of sales and excluding depletion and depreciation, costs not attributable to GEO sales such as our Energy operating costs, and other non-cash costs of sales such as costs related to our prepaid gold purchase agreement. Cash Costs is then divided by GEOs sold, excluding prepaid ounces, to arrive at Cash Costs per GEO sold.
  4. Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA per share are non-IFRS financial measures, which exclude the following from net income and earnings per share (“EPS”): income tax expense/recovery; finance expenses and finance income; depletion and depreciation; non-cash costs of sales; impairment charges related to royalty, stream and working interests and investments; gains/losses on the sale of royalty, stream and working interests and investments; foreign exchange gains/losses and other income/expenses; and unusual non-recurring items.

Contact Information:

Franco-Nevada Corporation








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