The Global Autonomous Truck Market is estimated to be 15.2 thousand units in 2025 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 39.96%, to reach 81.8 thousand units by 2030. The global semi-autonomous truck market is estimated to be 260.1 thousand units in 2018 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 23.38%, to reach 1,132.3 thousand units by 2025.
The growth of this market is fueled by technological advancements in the field of connected vehicle and driver assistance features used in the vehicles. Connected vehicles are the stepping stones for autonomous vehicles and trucks as they can communicate with other vehicles and their surroundings.
The autonomous truck market is dominated by a few globally established players such as Bosch (Germany), Continental (Germany), Aptiv (UK), ZF (Germany), and Denso (Japan). Moreover, technology developers such as Uber (US), Waymo (US), and TuSimple are providing momentum to the growth of the market.
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The autonomous truck market has been segmented, by ADAS features, into Adaptive Cruise Control, Lane Assist, Intelligent Park Assist, Traffic Jam Assist, Autonomous Emergency Braking, Blind Spot Detection, and Highway Pilot. Automatic Emergency Braking and Adaptive Cruise Control are estimated to hold the largest market share between 2018 and 2025. In the US, automatic emergency braking systems are expected to be standard in vehicles by 2022 according to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA). The market for Blind Spot Detection would grow at the highest CAGR to increase road safety and decrease the number of accidents due to human errors.
The level 2 and level 3 automation is expected to grow at a higher CAGR than level 1 automation. The growth of level 2 and level 3 automation can be attributed to the increasing demand for highly secure and safe transportation and government norms in the emerging economies. Level 2 and level 3 semi-autonomous trucks have highly advanced driver assistance features that will help to increase road safety and truck security. The demand is expected to increase in developed as well as developing countries such as the US, Germany, China, and Japan, where key truck manufacturers are located.
The radar segment is projected to account for the largest share in the global autonomous truck market in 2025. Radar technology helps to detect and track objects at a certain distance. The market for LIDAR technology, which can detect an object and create a three-dimensional image, is estimated to grow at the highest CAGR during the forecast period for the autonomous trucks. LIDAR technology is an essential solution for the development of autonomous vehicles in the future.
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The European region is estimated to dominate the semi-autonomous truck market, in terms of volume, in 2018. The region comprises technologically advanced countries such as Germany, France, and others. Also, European truck manufacturers such as Daimler (Germany), Volkswagen (Germany), and Volvo (Sweden) are focusing on research and development activities to develop autonomous vehicles. North America is expected to dominate the autonomous truck market (volume) followed by Europe and the Asia Pacific. The region’s key technology innovators such as Waymo (US), Uber (US), and Embark (US) are investing in R&D to test the autonomous vehicle technology.
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